Here is the Meat of the Disruption
Chapter 4 - Disruptively Deploying Computers
"The disruptive transiton from teacher-delivered to software-delivered instruction is likely to proceed in two stages. We call the first of these stages computer-based learning. In this stage, the software will be proprietary and relatively expensive to develop; and it will be monolithic, with respet to students' types of intelligences and learning styles...The second phase of the disruption we term student-centric technology, in whcih software has been developed that can help students learn each subject in a manner that is consistent with their type of intelligence and learning style. Whereas computer-based learning is disruptive relative to the monolithic mode of teacher-led instruction, student-centric technology is disruptive relative to personal tutors."
Four factors will drive this disruption.
"First, computer-based learning will keep improving...in 2012 the technology's market share will grow from 5 percent to 50 percent.."
"A second driver of this transition will be the ability for students, teachers, and parents to select a learning pathway through each body of material that fits each of the types of learners-the transition from computer-based to student-centric technology."
"The third factor that will likely fuel the substitution is a looming teacher shortaage."
"The fourth factor is that costs will fall significantly as the market scales up."
"..10 years from the publication of this book, computer-based, student-centric learning will account for 50% of the "seat miles" in U.S. secondary schools. Given the current trajectory of the substitution, about 80 percent of courses taken in 2024 will have been taught online in a student-centric way."
"As the monolithic system of instruction shifts to a classroom powered by student-centric technology, teacher's roles will gradually shift over time, too. The shift might not be easy, but it will be rewarding. Instead of spending most of their time delivering one-size-fits-all lessons year after year, teachers can spend much of their time traveling from student to student to help individuals with individual problems. Teachers will act more as learning coaches and tutors to help students find the learning approach that makes the most sense for them."
Must be the time of year when books about innovation and education are on everybody's summer reading list. Here is a write up about the latest from Russell L. Ackoff, Anheuser Busch Professor Emeritus of management science at The Wharton School. (I want a title like this someday, Yeungling Professor Embarrasus)
http://www.changethis.com/47.02.TurningLearning
From the Back Cover of his new book, Turning Learning Right Side Up
In the age of the Internet, we educate people much as we did during the Industrial Revolution. We educate them for a world that no longer exists, instilling values antithetical to those of a free, 21st century democracy. Worst of all, too many schools extinguish the very creativity and joy they ought to nourish.
In Turning Learning Right Side Up, legendary systems scientist Dr. Russell Ackoff and “in-the-trenches” education innovator Daniel Greenberg offer a radically new path forward. In the year’s most provocative conversation, they take on the very deepest questions about education: What should be its true purpose? Do classrooms make sense anymore? What should individuals contribute to their own education? Are yesterday’s distinctions between subjects--and between the arts and sciences--still meaningful? What would the ideal lifelong education look like--at K-12, in universities, in the workplace, and beyond?
Ackoff and Greenberg each have experience making radical change work--successfully. Here, they combine deep idealism with a relentless focus on the real world--and arrive at solutions that are profoundly sensible and powerfully compelling.
Why today’s educational system fails--and why superficial reforms won’t help
The questions politicians won’t ask--and the answers they don’t want to hear
How do people learn--and why do they choose to learn?
Creating schools that reflect what we know about learning
In a 21st century democracy, what values must we nurture?
...and why aren’t we nurturing them?
How can tomorrow’s “ideal schools” be operated and funded?
A plan that cuts through political gridlock and can actually work
Beyond schools: building a society of passionate lifelong learners
Learning from childhood to college to workplace through retirement
Reinventing Learning for the Next Century: How We Can, and Why We Must
An extraordinary conversation about the very deepest questions...
Today, what is education for?
Where should it take place? How? When?
What is the ideal school?
The ideal lifelong learning experience?
Who should be in charge of education?
And who pays for it all?
Over the past 150 years, virtually everything has changed...except education. Schools were designed as factories, to train factory workers. The factories are gone, but the schools haven’t changed. It’s time for us to return to first principles...or formulate new first principles...and reimagine education from the ground up.
In Turning Learning Right Side Up, two of this generation’s most provocative thinkers--and practical doers--have done just that. They draw on the latest scientific research, the most enduring human wisdom, and their unique lifelong personal experiences transforming institutions that resist change. And, along the way, they offer a powerful blueprint for a thriving society of passionate lifelong learners.
I just bought the book. Stay tuned...